/ TIME: Almanac 1993 / TIME Almanac 1993.iso / time / 100989 / 10098900.028

< prev

next >

MacOS 8.1

Win98

DOS

view JSON data

view as text

+--------+-------------------------+-------------------------+--------+--------+
|00000000| ff ff ff ff ff ff ff ff | ff ff ff ff ff ff ff ff |........|........|
|00000010| d3 1c 57 0a 45 23 ff ff | ff ff ff ff ff ff ff ff |..W.E#..|........|
|00000020| ff ff ff ff ff ff ff ff | ff ff ff ff ff ff ff ff |........|........|
|00000030| 53 00 ff ff ff ff ff ff | ff ff ff ff ff ff ff ff |S.......|........|
|00000040| ff ff ff ff ff ff ff ff | ff ff ff ff ff ff ff ff |........|........|
|00000050| 4d 45 44 49 43 49 4e 45 | 2c 20 50 61 67 65 20 31 |MEDICINE|, Page 1|
|00000060| 30 33 01 01 41 20 52 65 | 63 6f 75 6e 74 20 6f 66 |03..A Re|count of|
|00000070| 20 41 49 44 53 20 43 61 | 72 72 69 65 72 73 0d 0a | AIDS Ca|rriers..|
|00000080| 0d 0a 0d 0a 54 68 65 20 | 65 70 69 64 65 6d 69 63 |....The |epidemic|
|00000090| 20 6d 61 79 20 6e 6f 74 | 20 62 65 20 61 73 20 77 | may not| be as w|
|000000a0| 69 64 65 73 70 72 65 61 | 64 20 61 73 20 6f 6e 63 |idesprea|d as onc|
|000000b0| 65 20 61 73 73 75 6d 65 | 64 0d 0a 0d 0a 0d 0a 20 |e assume|d...... |
|000000c0| 20 20 20 4f 6e 65 20 6f | 66 20 74 68 65 20 6d 6f |   One o|f the mo|
|000000d0| 73 74 20 6d 61 64 64 65 | 6e 69 6e 67 20 2d 2d 20 |st madde|ning -- |
|000000e0| 61 6e 64 20 66 72 69 67 | 68 74 65 6e 69 6e 67 20 |and frig|htening |
|000000f0| 2d 2d 20 61 73 70 65 63 | 74 73 20 6f 66 0d 0a 74 |-- aspec|ts of..t|
|00000100| 68 65 20 41 49 44 53 20 | 65 70 69 64 65 6d 69 63 |he AIDS |epidemic|
|00000110| 20 69 73 20 74 68 61 74 | 20 6e 6f 20 6f 6e 65 20 | is that| no one |
|00000120| 6b 6e 6f 77 73 20 68 6f | 77 20 6d 61 6e 79 20 70 |knows ho|w many p|
|00000130| 65 6f 70 6c 65 20 68 61 | 76 65 0d 0a 62 65 65 6e |eople ha|ve..been|
|00000140| 20 69 6e 66 65 63 74 65 | 64 20 77 69 74 68 20 74 | infecte|d with t|
|00000150| 68 65 20 64 65 61 64 6c | 79 20 76 69 72 75 73 2e |he deadl|y virus.|
|00000160| 20 49 74 20 63 61 6e 20 | 6c 69 65 20 64 6f 72 6d | It can |lie dorm|
|00000170| 61 6e 74 20 69 6e 20 74 | 68 65 0d 0a 62 6f 64 79 |ant in t|he..body|
|00000180| 20 66 6f 72 20 79 65 61 | 72 73 20 62 65 66 6f 72 | for yea|rs befor|
|00000190| 65 20 70 72 6f 64 75 63 | 69 6e 67 20 73 79 6d 70 |e produc|ing symp|
|000001a0| 74 6f 6d 73 2e 20 55 2e | 53 2e 20 68 65 61 6c 74 |toms. U.|S. healt|
|000001b0| 68 20 6f 66 66 69 63 69 | 61 6c 73 0d 0a 68 61 76 |h offici|als..hav|
|000001c0| 65 20 65 73 74 69 6d 61 | 74 65 64 20 74 68 61 74 |e estima|ted that|
|000001d0| 20 62 65 74 77 65 65 6e | 20 39 35 30 2c 30 30 30 | between| 950,000|
|000001e0| 20 61 6e 64 20 31 2e 34 | 35 20 6d 69 6c 6c 69 6f | and 1.4|5 millio|
|000001f0| 6e 20 41 6d 65 72 69 63 | 61 6e 73 0d 0a 68 61 76 |n Americ|ans..hav|
|00000200| 65 20 70 69 63 6b 65 64 | 20 75 70 20 74 68 65 20 |e picked| up the |
|00000210| 76 69 72 75 73 2c 20 62 | 75 74 20 74 68 61 74 20 |virus, b|ut that |
|00000220| 69 73 20 62 61 73 65 64 | 20 6f 6e 20 73 70 6f 74 |is based| on spot|
|00000230| 74 79 20 64 61 74 61 2e | 0d 0a 41 64 6d 69 74 73 |ty data.|..Admits|
|00000240| 20 61 20 66 65 64 65 72 | 61 6c 20 41 49 44 53 20 | a feder|al AIDS |
|00000250| 65 78 70 65 72 74 3a 20 | 22 49 74 27 73 20 6a 75 |expert: |"It's ju|
|00000260| 73 74 20 68 61 72 64 20 | 74 6f 20 74 61 6b 65 20 |st hard |to take |
|00000270| 74 68 6f 73 65 0d 0a 6e | 75 6d 62 65 72 73 20 73 |those..n|umbers s|
|00000280| 65 72 69 6f 75 73 6c 79 | 2e 22 0d 0a 0d 0a 20 20 |eriously|."....  |
|00000290| 20 20 42 75 74 20 6e 6f | 77 20 74 68 65 72 65 20 |  But no|w there |
|000002a0| 69 73 20 61 20 73 65 74 | 20 6f 66 20 6e 75 6d 62 |is a set| of numb|
|000002b0| 65 72 73 20 74 68 61 74 | 20 6d 61 79 20 64 65 73 |ers that| may des|
|000002c0| 65 72 76 65 20 74 6f 20 | 62 65 0d 0a 74 61 6b 65 |erve to |be..take|
|000002d0| 6e 20 73 65 72 69 6f 75 | 73 6c 79 2e 20 4a 6f 65 |n seriou|sly. Joe|
|000002e0| 6c 20 48 61 79 2c 20 61 | 20 68 65 61 6c 74 68 20 |l Hay, a| health |
|000002f0| 65 63 6f 6e 6f 6d 69 73 | 74 20 66 6f 72 20 74 68 |economis|t for th|
|00000300| 65 20 48 6f 6f 76 65 72 | 0d 0a 49 6e 73 74 69 74 |e Hoover|..Instit|
|00000310| 75 74 69 6f 6e 20 61 74 | 20 53 74 61 6e 66 6f 72 |ution at| Stanfor|
|00000320| 64 2c 20 68 61 73 20 75 | 73 65 64 20 61 20 73 74 |d, has u|sed a st|
|00000330| 61 74 69 73 74 69 63 61 | 6c 20 74 6f 6f 6c 20 63 |atistica|l tool c|
|00000340| 61 6c 6c 65 64 0d 0a 22 | 62 61 63 6b 20 63 61 6c |alled.."|back cal|
|00000350| 63 75 6c 61 74 69 6f 6e | 22 20 74 6f 20 61 6e 61 |culation|" to ana|
|00000360| 6c 79 7a 65 20 64 61 74 | 61 20 6f 6e 20 41 49 44 |lyze dat|a on AID|
|00000370| 53 20 69 6e 66 65 63 74 | 69 6f 6e 73 2e 20 48 69 |S infect|ions. Hi|
|00000380| 73 0d 0a 73 75 72 70 72 | 69 73 69 6e 67 20 63 6f |s..surpr|ising co|
|00000390| 6e 63 6c 75 73 69 6f 6e | 3a 20 61 62 6f 75 74 20 |nclusion|: about |
|000003a0| 36 34 30 2c 30 30 30 20 | 41 6d 65 72 69 63 61 6e |640,000 |American|
|000003b0| 73 20 63 61 72 72 79 20 | 74 68 65 20 76 69 72 75 |s carry |the viru|
|000003c0| 73 2e 0d 0a 49 66 20 68 | 65 20 69 73 20 72 69 67 |s...If h|e is rig|
|000003d0| 68 74 2c 20 74 68 65 20 | 65 70 69 64 65 6d 69 63 |ht, the |epidemic|
|000003e0| 2c 20 77 68 69 6c 65 20 | 73 74 69 6c 6c 20 64 65 |, while |still de|
|000003f0| 76 61 73 74 61 74 69 6e | 67 2c 20 6d 61 79 20 62 |vastatin|g, may b|
|00000400| 65 0d 0a 6f 6e 6c 79 20 | 68 61 6c 66 20 61 73 20 |e..only |half as |
|00000410| 77 69 64 65 73 70 72 65 | 61 64 20 61 73 20 67 65 |widespre|ad as ge|
|00000420| 6e 65 72 61 6c 6c 79 20 | 62 65 6c 69 65 76 65 64 |nerally |believed|
|00000430| 2e 0d 0a 0d 0a 20 20 20 | 20 48 61 79 27 73 20 63 |.....   | Hay's c|
|00000440| 61 6c 63 75 6c 61 74 69 | 6f 6e 20 69 73 20 62 61 |alculati|on is ba|
|00000450| 73 65 64 20 6f 6e 20 74 | 68 65 20 6f 62 73 65 72 |sed on t|he obser|
|00000460| 76 61 74 69 6f 6e 20 74 | 68 61 74 20 69 6e 20 61 |vation t|hat in a|
|00000470| 0d 0a 73 70 65 63 69 66 | 69 63 20 67 72 6f 75 70 |..specif|ic group|
|00000480| 20 6f 66 20 70 65 6f 70 | 6c 65 20 63 61 72 72 79 | of peop|le carry|
|00000490| 69 6e 67 20 74 68 65 20 | 41 49 44 53 20 76 69 72 |ing the |AIDS vir|
|000004a0| 75 73 2c 20 61 20 63 65 | 72 74 61 69 6e 0d 0a 70 |us, a ce|rtain..p|
|000004b0| 65 72 63 65 6e 74 61 67 | 65 20 77 69 6c 6c 20 64 |ercentag|e will d|
|000004c0| 65 76 65 6c 6f 70 20 73 | 79 6d 70 74 6f 6d 73 20 |evelop s|ymptoms |
|000004d0| 77 69 74 68 69 6e 20 61 | 20 67 69 76 65 6e 20 70 |within a| given p|
|000004e0| 65 72 69 6f 64 20 6f 66 | 20 74 69 6d 65 2e 0d 0a |eriod of| time...|
|000004f0| 46 6f 72 20 65 78 61 6d | 70 6c 65 2c 20 69 74 20 |For exam|ple, it |
|00000500| 61 70 70 65 61 72 73 20 | 74 68 61 74 20 72 6f 75 |appears |that rou|
|00000510| 67 68 6c 79 20 36 25 20 | 77 69 6c 6c 20 63 6f 6d |ghly 6% |will com|
|00000520| 65 20 64 6f 77 6e 20 77 | 69 74 68 20 74 68 65 0d |e down w|ith the.|
|00000530| 0a 64 69 73 65 61 73 65 | 20 69 6e 20 74 68 65 20 |.disease| in the |
|00000540| 73 65 63 6f 6e 64 20 79 | 65 61 72 20 61 66 74 65 |second y|ear afte|
|00000550| 72 20 69 6e 66 65 63 74 | 69 6f 6e 2e 20 53 69 6e |r infect|ion. Sin|
|00000560| 63 65 20 74 68 65 20 47 | 6f 76 65 72 6e 6d 65 6e |ce the G|overnmen|
|00000570| 74 0d 0a 68 61 73 20 61 | 63 63 75 72 61 74 65 20 |t..has a|ccurate |
|00000580| 66 69 67 75 72 65 73 20 | 6f 6e 20 68 6f 77 20 6d |figures |on how m|
|00000590| 61 6e 79 20 70 65 6f 70 | 6c 65 20 68 61 76 65 20 |any peop|le have |
|000005a0| 64 65 76 65 6c 6f 70 65 | 64 20 41 49 44 53 2c 20 |develope|d AIDS, |
|000005b0| 48 61 79 0d 0a 77 61 73 | 20 61 62 6c 65 20 74 6f |Hay..was| able to|
|000005c0| 20 77 6f 72 6b 20 62 61 | 63 6b 77 61 72 64 20 74 | work ba|ckward t|
|000005d0| 6f 20 66 69 67 75 72 65 | 20 6f 75 74 20 74 68 65 |o figure| out the|
|000005e0| 20 6e 75 6d 62 65 72 20 | 6f 66 20 74 68 6f 73 65 | number |of those|
|000005f0| 20 77 68 6f 0d 0a 63 61 | 72 72 79 20 74 68 65 20 | who..ca|rry the |
|00000600| 76 69 72 75 73 2e 0d 0a | 0d 0a 20 20 20 20 54 68 |virus...|..    Th|
|00000610| 65 20 65 63 6f 6e 6f 6d | 69 73 74 20 75 73 65 73 |e econom|ist uses|
|00000620| 20 68 69 73 20 74 65 63 | 68 6e 69 71 75 65 73 20 | his tec|hniques |
|00000630| 74 6f 20 70 72 65 64 69 | 63 74 20 74 68 65 20 72 |to predi|ct the r|
|00000640| 61 74 65 20 61 74 0d 0a | 77 68 69 63 68 20 6e 65 |ate at..|which ne|
|00000650| 77 20 41 49 44 53 20 63 | 61 73 65 73 20 77 69 6c |w AIDS c|ases wil|
|00000660| 6c 20 62 65 20 72 65 70 | 6f 72 74 65 64 2c 20 61 |l be rep|orted, a|
|00000670| 6e 64 20 68 69 73 20 70 | 72 6f 6a 65 63 74 69 6f |nd his p|rojectio|
|00000680| 6e 73 20 73 65 65 6d 0d | 0a 74 6f 20 62 65 20 6f |ns seem.|.to be o|
|00000690| 6e 20 74 61 72 67 65 74 | 2e 20 53 61 79 73 20 61 |n target|. Says a|
|000006a0| 20 47 6f 76 65 72 6e 6d | 65 6e 74 20 73 63 69 65 | Governm|ent scie|
|000006b0| 6e 74 69 73 74 3a 20 22 | 45 76 65 72 79 20 6d 6f |ntist: "|Every mo|
|000006c0| 6e 74 68 20 48 61 79 27 | 73 0d 0a 6e 75 6d 62 65 |nth Hay'|s..numbe|
|000006d0| 72 73 20 6c 6f 6f 6b 20 | 62 65 74 74 65 72 20 61 |rs look |better a|
|000006e0| 6e 64 20 62 65 74 74 65 | 72 2c 20 77 68 69 6c 65 |nd bette|r, while|
|000006f0| 20 74 68 65 20 6f 66 66 | 69 63 69 61 6c 20 65 73 | the off|icial es|
|00000700| 74 69 6d 61 74 65 73 0d | 0a 6c 6f 6f 6b 20 77 6f |timates.|.look wo|
|00000710| 72 73 65 2e 22 0d 0a 0d | 0a 20 20 20 20 41 49 44 |rse."...|.    AID|
|00000720| 53 20 61 63 74 69 76 69 | 73 74 73 20 64 6f 75 62 |S activi|sts doub|
|00000730| 74 20 48 61 79 27 73 20 | 66 69 67 75 72 65 73 20 |t Hay's |figures |
|00000740| 61 6e 64 20 66 65 61 72 | 20 74 68 61 74 20 74 68 |and fear| that th|
|00000750| 65 79 20 63 6f 75 6c 64 | 0d 0a 63 61 75 73 65 20 |ey could|..cause |
|00000760| 74 68 65 20 6e 61 74 69 | 6f 6e 20 74 6f 20 62 65 |the nati|on to be|
|00000770| 63 6f 6d 65 20 6c 65 73 | 73 20 63 6f 6e 63 65 72 |come les|s concer|
|00000780| 6e 65 64 20 61 62 6f 75 | 74 20 74 68 65 20 64 69 |ned abou|t the di|
|00000790| 73 65 61 73 65 2e 0d 0a | 54 68 65 20 63 72 69 74 |sease...|The crit|
|000007a0| 69 63 73 20 74 68 69 6e | 6b 20 74 68 61 74 20 74 |ics thin|k that t|
|000007b0| 68 65 20 75 73 65 20 6f | 66 20 61 6e 74 69 2d 41 |he use o|f anti-A|
|000007c0| 49 44 53 20 64 72 75 67 | 73 20 68 61 73 20 64 65 |IDS drug|s has de|
|000007d0| 6c 61 79 65 64 0d 0a 74 | 68 65 20 6f 6e 73 65 74 |layed..t|he onset|
|000007e0| 20 6f 66 20 73 79 6d 70 | 74 6f 6d 73 20 69 6e 20 | of symp|toms in |
|000007f0| 6d 61 6e 79 20 70 65 6f | 70 6c 65 20 61 6e 64 20 |many peo|ple and |
|00000800| 74 68 75 73 20 6d 61 64 | 65 20 74 68 65 0d 0a 65 |thus mad|e the..e|
|00000810| 63 6f 6e 6f 6d 69 73 74 | 27 73 20 63 61 6c 63 75 |conomist|'s calcu|
|00000820| 6c 61 74 69 6f 6e 73 20 | 65 72 72 6f 6e 65 6f 75 |lations |erroneou|
|00000830| 73 2e 0d 0a 0d 0a 20 20 | 20 20 54 68 65 20 47 6f |s.....  |  The Go|
|00000840| 76 65 72 6e 6d 65 6e 74 | 20 6d 61 79 20 73 65 74 |vernment| may set|
|00000850| 74 6c 65 20 74 68 65 20 | 69 73 73 75 65 20 77 69 |tle the |issue wi|
|00000860| 74 68 20 61 20 6e 61 74 | 69 6f 6e 61 6c 20 41 49 |th a nat|ional AI|
|00000870| 44 53 0d 0a 73 75 72 76 | 65 79 2c 20 77 68 69 63 |DS..surv|ey, whic|
|00000880| 68 20 62 65 67 61 6e 20 | 6c 61 73 74 20 77 65 65 |h began |last wee|
|00000890| 6b 20 69 6e 20 44 61 6c | 6c 61 73 2e 20 54 68 65 |k in Dal|las. The|
|000008a0| 20 72 65 73 69 64 65 6e | 74 73 20 6f 66 20 33 2c | residen|ts of 3,|
|000008b0| 34 30 30 0d 0a 68 6f 75 | 73 65 68 6f 6c 64 73 20 |400..hou|seholds |
|000008c0| 77 65 72 65 20 73 65 6e | 74 20 6c 65 74 74 65 72 |were sen|t letter|
|000008d0| 73 20 61 73 6b 69 6e 67 | 20 74 68 65 6d 20 74 6f |s asking| them to|
|000008e0| 20 74 61 6b 65 20 61 6e | 6f 6e 79 6d 6f 75 73 20 | take an|onymous |
|000008f0| 41 49 44 53 0d 0a 74 65 | 73 74 73 20 61 6e 64 20 |AIDS..te|sts and |
|00000900| 61 6e 73 77 65 72 20 71 | 75 65 73 74 69 6f 6e 73 |answer q|uestions|
|00000910| 20 61 62 6f 75 74 20 74 | 68 65 69 72 20 73 65 78 | about t|heir sex|
|00000920| 75 61 6c 20 70 72 61 63 | 74 69 63 65 73 20 61 6e |ual prac|tices an|
|00000930| 64 0d 0a 64 72 75 67 20 | 75 73 65 2e 20 53 6f 6d |d..drug |use. Som|
|00000940| 65 20 41 49 44 53 20 67 | 72 6f 75 70 73 20 70 72 |e AIDS g|roups pr|
|00000950| 6f 74 65 73 74 65 64 2c | 20 63 68 61 72 67 69 6e |otested,| chargin|
|00000960| 67 20 74 68 61 74 20 74 | 68 65 20 6d 6f 6e 65 79 |g that t|he money|
|00000970| 0d 0a 75 73 65 64 20 66 | 6f 72 20 74 68 65 20 73 |..used f|or the s|
|00000980| 75 72 76 65 79 20 63 6f | 75 6c 64 20 62 65 20 62 |urvey co|uld be b|
|00000990| 65 74 74 65 72 20 73 70 | 65 6e 74 20 6f 6e 20 74 |etter sp|ent on t|
|000009a0| 72 65 61 74 6d 65 6e 74 | 20 61 6e 64 20 74 68 65 |reatment| and the|
|000009b0| 0d 0a 73 65 61 72 63 68 | 20 66 6f 72 20 61 20 63 |..search| for a c|
|000009c0| 75 72 65 2e 0d 0a 0d 0a |                         |ure.....|        |
+--------+-------------------------+-------------------------+--------+--------+